Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL-09-1402
8:30 a.m. (EST), Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Technical Information: (202) 691-6555 * cesinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ces
Media Contact: (202) 691-5902 * PressOffice@bls.gov
REAL EARNINGS -- OCTOBER 2009
Real average hourly earnings fell 0.1 percent from September to October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. A 0.3 percent increase in the Consumer Price Index for
Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) slightly offset a 0.3 percent increase in average
hourly earnings for production and nonsupervisory workers.
Real average weekly earnings fell 0.1 percent over the month, as a result of a decline in real average
hourly earnings and an unchanged average work week. Since reaching a recent high point in December
2008, real average weekly earnings have fallen by 1.9 percent.
Real average hourly earnings grew 2.8 percent, seasonally adjusted, from October 2008 to October 2009.
A 1.5 percent decline in average weekly hours partly offset the increase in real average hourly earnings
and resulted in a 1.2 percent increase in real average weekly earnings during this period.
Real Earnings for November 2009 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, December 16, 2009 at
8:30 a.m. (EST).
***************************************************************************************************************
* Upcoming Changes to the Real Earnings News Release *
* *
* Effective with the release of January 2010 data on February 19, 2010, the U.S. Bureau of Labor *
* Statistics will introduce changes to the Real Earnings news release text and tables in order to incorporate *
* new all employee hours and earning data. News release tables for Real Earnings will be redesigned to *
* incorporate the new series and to be consistent with formatting of the new Employment Situation news *
* release tables. Additional information is available at www.bls.gov/ces/upcoming_realer_changes.htm. *
***************************************************************************************************************
Table A. Composition of change in real earnings of production and
nonsupervisory workers(1) on private nonfarm payrolls
________________________________________________________________________
| | | | |
| Average | Average | Average | The | Real
| hourly | weekly | weekly | Consumer | average
Year | earnings | hours | earnings | Price | weekly
and | | | | Index(2) | earnings
month |___________|___________|___________|___________|___________
|
| Percent change from preceding month, seasonally adjusted
____________|___________________________________________________________
| | | | |
2008: | | | | |
Oct. | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.1 | -1.0 | 1.1
Nov. | .3 | -.3 | (3) | -2.1 | 2.2
Dec. | .3 | -.3 | (3) | -1.0 | 1.0
2009: | | | | |
Jan. | .2 | .0 | .2 | .3 | -.2
Feb. | .2 | .0 | .2 | .4 | -.3
Mar. | .2 | -.6 | -.4 | -.1 | -.2
Apr. | .0 | .0 | .0 | .0 | (3)
May | .2 | .0 | .2 | .1 | (3)
June | .1 | -.3 | -.2 | .9 | -1.2
July | .3 | .3 | .6 | .0 | .5
Aug. | .4 | .0 | .4 | .6 | -.2
Sept.(p)| .1 | -.3 | -.2 | .2 | -.4
Oct.(p) | .3 | .0 | .3 | .3 | -.1
____________|___________|___________|___________|___________|___________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
3 Change less than 0.05 percent in magnitude.
p = preliminary.
Table B. Percent change in earnings from the same month a year ago for
production and nonsupervisory workers(1) on private nonfarm payrolls,
seasonally adjusted
_________________________________________________________________________
| |
| Average hourly | Average weekly
| earnings | earnings
Year |_____________________________|_____________________________
and | | | |
month | Current | Constant | Current | Constant
| dollars | (1982) | dollars | (1982)
| | dollars(2) | | dollars(2)
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
| | | |
2008: | | | |
Oct. | 3.9 | -0.1 | 2.9 | -0.9
Nov. | 3.9 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.0
Dec. | 3.9 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 3.1
2009: | | | |
Jan. | 3.7 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3.2
Feb. | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.5
Mar. | 3.4 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 2.2
Apr. | 3.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 2.2
May | 3.0 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 2.8
June | 2.8 | 4.5 | .9 | 2.7
July | 2.7 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 3.7
Aug. | 2.6 | 4.6 | .8 | 2.7
Sept.(p) | 2.5 | 4.4 | .7 | 2.5
Oct.(p) | 2.4 | 2.8 | .9 | 1.2
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
p = preliminary.
Table 1. Earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars(1) by industry and
selected industry detail, not seasonally adjusted
_______________________________________________________________________________
|
| Average hourly earnings
|_________________________________________________
| | | |
Industry | | | | Percent
| Oct. | Sept. | Oct. | change:
| 2008 | 2009p | 2009p | Oct. 2008-
| | | | Oct. 2009
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
| | | |
Total private:(2) | | | |
Current dollars..........| $18.27 | $18.68 | $18.72 | 2.5
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.34 | 8.57 | 8.57 | 2.8
| | | |
Goods-producing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 19.61 | 20.01 | 20.06 | 2.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.96 | 9.18 | 9.19 | 2.6
| | | |
Mining and logging: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 22.98 | 23.17 | 23.19 | .9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 10.49 | 10.62 | 10.62 | 1.2
| | | |
Construction: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 22.28 | 22.67 | 22.98 | 3.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 10.17 | 10.40 | 10.53 | 3.5
| | | |
Manufacturing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.86 | 18.40 | 18.30 | 2.5
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.16 | 8.44 | 8.38 | 2.7
| | | |
Private service-providing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 17.94 | 18.39 | 18.43 | 2.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.19 | 8.43 | 8.44 | 3.1
| | | |
Trade, transportation, and | | | |
utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 16.24 | 16.59 | 16.56 | 2.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 7.42 | 7.61 | 7.59 | 2.3
| | | |
Wholesale trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 20.21 | 21.01 | 21.05 | 4.2
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.23 | 9.63 | 9.64 | 4.4
| | | |
Retail trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 12.89 | 13.21 | 13.07 | 1.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 5.89 | 6.06 | 5.99 | 1.7
| | | |
Transportation and | | | |
warehousing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 18.55 | 18.64 | 18.72 | .9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.47 | 8.55 | 8.57 | 1.2
| | | |
Utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 29.00 | 29.78 | 29.87 | 3.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 13.24 | 13.66 | 13.68 | 3.3
| | | |
Information: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 25.06 | 25.54 | 25.73 | 2.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 11.44 | 11.71 | 11.79 | 3.1
| | | |
Financial activities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 20.41 | 20.89 | 20.96 | 2.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.32 | 9.58 | 9.60 | 3.0
| | | |
Professional and business | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 21.45 | 22.40 | 22.34 | 4.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 9.80 | 10.27 | 10.23 | 4.4
| | | |
Education and health | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 19.04 | 19.59 | 19.57 | 2.8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 8.70 | 8.98 | 8.96 | 3.0
| | | |
Leisure and hospitality: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 10.93 | 11.10 | 11.14 | 1.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 4.99 | 5.09 | 5.10 | 2.2
| | | |
Other services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 16.17 | 16.43 | 16.43 | 1.6
Constant (1982) dollars..| 7.38 | 7.53 | 7.53 | 2.0
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
See footnotes at end of table.
Table 1. Earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls in current and constant dollars(1) by industry and
selected industry detail, not seasonally adjusted - Continued
_______________________________________________________________________________
|
| Average weekly earnings
|_________________________________________________
| | | |
Industry | | | | Percent
| Oct. | Sept. | Oct. | change:
| 2008 | 2009p | 2009p | Oct. 2008-
| | | | Oct. 2009
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
| | | |
Total private:(2) | | | |
Current dollars..........| $613.87 | $614.57 | $619.63 | 0.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 280.34 | 281.81 | 283.82 | 1.2
| | | |
Goods-producing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 788.32 | 778.39 | 790.36 | .3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 360.01 | 356.92 | 362.02 | .6
| | | |
Mining and logging: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 1038.70 | 998.63 | 1008.77 | -2.9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 474.36 | 457.91 | 462.07 | -2.6
| | | |
Construction: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 866.69 | 829.72 | 857.15 | -1.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 395.80 | 380.46 | 392.62 | -.8
| | | |
Manufacturing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 726.90 | 736.00 | 739.32 | 1.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 331.96 | 337.49 | 338.65 | 2.0
| | | |
Private service-providing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 577.67 | 586.64 | 587.92 | 1.8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 263.81 | 269.00 | 269.30 | 2.1
| | | |
Trade, transportation, and | | | |
utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 535.92 | 547.47 | 544.82 | 1.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 244.75 | 251.04 | 249.55 | 2.0
| | | |
Wholesale trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 772.02 | 779.47 | 787.27 | 2.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 352.57 | 357.42 | 360.61 | 2.3
| | | |
Retail trade: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 384.12 | 397.62 | 389.49 | 1.4
Constant (1982) dollars..| 175.42 | 182.33 | 178.41 | 1.7
| | | |
Transportation and | | | |
warehousing: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 671.51 | 680.36 | 685.15 | 2.0
Constant (1982) dollars..| 306.67 | 311.97 | 313.83 | 2.3
| | | |
Utilities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 1238.30 | 1241.83 | 1248.57 | .8
Constant (1982) dollars..| 565.51 | 569.43 | 571.91 | 1.1
| | | |
Information: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 924.71 | 929.66 | 936.57 | 1.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 422.30 | 426.29 | 429.00 | 1.6
| | | |
Financial activities: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 728.64 | 743.68 | 748.27 | 2.7
Constant (1982) dollars..| 332.76 | 341.01 | 342.74 | 3.0
| | | |
Professional and business | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 750.75 | 768.32 | 775.20 | 3.3
Constant (1982) dollars..| 342.86 | 352.31 | 355.08 | 3.6
| | | |
Education and health | | | |
services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 616.90 | 630.80 | 630.15 | 2.1
Constant (1982) dollars..| 281.73 | 289.25 | 288.64 | 2.5
| | | |
Leisure and hospitality: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 273.25 | 270.84 | 271.82 | -.5
Constant (1982) dollars..| 124.79 | 124.19 | 124.51 | -.2
| | | |
Other services: | | | |
Current dollars..........| 496.42 | 499.47 | 501.12 | .9
Constant (1982) dollars..| 226.71 | 229.03 | 229.54 | 1.2
_____________________________|___________|___________|___________|_____________
1 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Earners and
Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
2 Data relate to production workers in mining and logging and
manufacturing, construction workers in construction, and
nonsupervisory workers in the service-providing industries.
These groups account for approximately four-fifths of the
total employment on private nonfarm payrolls.
p = preliminary.
Table 2. Earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers(1) on private
nonfarm payrolls, seasonally adjusted
_________________________________________________________________________
| |
| |
| Average hourly | Average weekly
| earnings | earnings
| |
Year |_____________________________|_____________________________
and | | | |
month | | | |
| Current | Constant | Current | Constant
| dollars | (1982) | dollars | (1982)
| | dollars(2) | | dollars(2)
| | | |
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
| | | |
2008: | | | |
Oct. | $18.28 | $8.33 | $612.38 | $279.11
Nov. | 18.34 | 8.54 | 612.56 | 285.23
Dec. | 18.40 | 8.65 | 612.72 | 288.12
2009: | | | |
Jan. | 18.43 | 8.64 | 613.72 | 287.60
Feb. | 18.46 | 8.61 | 614.72 | 286.80
Mar. | 18.50 | 8.64 | 612.35 | 286.10
Apr. | 18.50 | 8.65 | 612.35 | 286.16
May | 18.53 | 8.65 | 613.34 | 286.25
June | 18.54 | 8.57 | 611.82 | 282.94
July | 18.59 | 8.59 | 615.33 | 284.48
Aug. | 18.66 | 8.58 | 617.65 | 283.98
Sept.(p) | 18.67 | 8.57 | 616.11 | 282.76
Oct.(p) | 18.72 | 8.56 | 617.76 | 282.57
_____________|______________|______________|______________|______________
1 See footnote 2, table 1.
2 The deflator for the constant-dollar series presented in this
release is the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
Workers (CPI-W).
p = preliminary.
Explanatory Note
The earnings series presented in this release
are derived from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’
Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey, a
monthly establishment survey of employment, payroll,
and hours. The deflator used for constant-dollar
earnings series presented in this release is derived from
the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and
Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
For the purpose of the Real Earnings series,
the CPI-W is converted from the base of 1982-84 that
is used in the official, published series to a base of
1982. Thus, the constant dollar average hourly and
weekly earnings series are in 1982 dollars. To avoid
confusion for users, the CPI data presented in Table A
are the official, published CPI-W series. These data
may differ slightly from those used in the real earnings
calculations.
Seasonally adjusted data are used for
estimates of percent change from the same month a
year ago for current and constant average hourly and
weekly earnings that are presented in Table B of this
release. Special techniques are applied to the CES
hours and earnings data in the seasonal adjustment
process to mitigate the effect of certain calendar-
related fluctuations. Thus, over-the-year changes of
these hours and earnings are best measured using
seasonally adjusted series. A discussion of the
calendar-related fluctuations in the hours and earnings
data and the special techniques to remove them is
available in the February 2004 issue of Employment and
Earnings or on the Internet under 'Technical Notes'
(http://www.bls.gov/ces/).
Earnings series from the monthly
establishment series are estimated arithmetic averages
(means) of the hourly and weekly earnings of all
production and nonsupervisory jobs in the private
nonfarm sector of the economy. Average hourly
earnings estimates are derived by dividing the
estimated industry payroll--for all production and
nonsupervisory jobs--by the corresponding paid hours.
Average weekly hours estimates are similarly derived
by dividing estimated aggregate hours by the
corresponding number of production and nonsupervisory
jobs. Average weekly earnings estimates are derived
by multiplying the average hourly earnings and the
average weekly hours estimates. This is equivalent to
dividing the estimated payroll by the number of
production and nonsupervisory jobs. The weekly and
hourly earnings estimates for aggregate industries,
such as the major industry division and the total private
sector averages printed in this release, are derived by
summing the corresponding payroll, hours, and
employment estimates of the component industries.
As a result, each industry receives a "weight" in the
published averages that corresponds to its current level
of activity (employment or total hours). This further
implies that fluctuations and varying trends in
employment in high-wage versus low-wage industries
as well as wage rate changes influence the earnings
averages.
There are several characteristics of the series
presented in this release that limit their suitability for
some types of economic analyses. (1) The denominator
for the weekly earnings series is the number of private
nonfarm production and nonsupervisory worker jobs.
This number includes full-time and part-time jobs as
well as the jobs held by multiple jobholders in the
private nonfarm sector. These factors tend to result in
weekly earnings averages significantly lower than the
corresponding numbers for full-time jobs. (2) Annual
earnings averages can differ significantly from the
result obtained by multiplying average weekly
earnings times 52 weeks. The difference may be due
to factors such as turnovers and layoffs. (3) The series
are the average earnings of all production and
nonsupervisory jobs, not the earnings average of
"typical" jobs or jobs held by "typical" workers.
Specifically, there are no adjustments for occupational,
age, or schooling variations or for household type or
location. Many studies have established the
significance of these factors and that their impact
varies over time.
Seasonally adjusted data (table 2) are
preferred by some users for analyzing general earnings
trends in the economy since they eliminate the effect of
changes that normally occur at the same time and in
about the same magnitude each year and, therefore,
reveal the underlying trends and cyclical movements.
Changes in average earnings may be due to seasonal
changes in the proportion of workers in high-wage and
low-wage industries or occupations or to seasonal
changes in the amount of overtime work, and so on.
For more information, see Thomas Gavett,
"Measures of Change in Real Wages and Earnings,"
Monthly Labor Review, February 1972.
Information in this release will be made
available to sensory impaired individuals upon request.
Voice phone: 202-691-5200; TDD Message Referral
Phone Number: 1-800-877-8339.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
